@InProceedings{OliveiraHamaLana:2011:TePrPr,
author = "Oliveira, Bruno Silva and Hamada, Emilia and Lana, Jos{\'e} Tadeu
de Oliveira",
affiliation = "{Universidade Estadual de Campinas – UNICAMP/FEAGRI} and {Embrapa
Meio Ambiente} and {Embrapa Meio Ambiente}",
title = "Tend{\^e}ncia das proje{\c{c}}{\~o}es de
precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o dos modelos clim{\'a}ticos globais para
o Brasil utilizando SIG",
booktitle = "Anais...",
year = "2011",
editor = "Epiphanio, Jos{\'e} Carlos Neves and Galv{\~a}o, L{\^e}nio
Soares",
pages = "3788--3795",
organization = "Simp{\'o}sio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, 15. (SBSR).",
publisher = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
keywords = "climate models, geoprocessing, rainfall, modelos clim{\'a}ticos,
geoprocessamento, precipita{\c{c}}{\~a}o pluvial.",
abstract = "The reality of global climate changes creates the necessity of
predicting how will be the climatic scenario in our planet and how
it will affect the economic activities in the future. For some
climatic variables the global climate models projections are
similar, as in the case of temperature. But in the case of
rainfall it does not happen, once the global climate models show
different projections. This study aims to evaluate the rainfall
projections tendency for Brazil and its regions according to
global climate models, using GIS Idrisi 32. Fifteen global models
were performed to compare the projection of future precipitation
(2071 - 2100) of the emission scenario A2 of the IPCC Fourth
Assessment Report with reference period data (1961 - 1990) of the
Climate Research Unit (C.R.U). The results showed global climate
models behavior differently for each brazilian region, indicating
a tendency of rainfall increase in certain geographic areas and
decrease in others. During the winter months there is a tendency
of rainfall decrease, while during summer the tendency is the
increase of rainfall, according to the global models evaluated.
The results can be used as a base for the knowledge of global
climate models behavior in future scenarios.",
conference-location = "Curitiba",
conference-year = "30 abr. - 5 maio 2011",
isbn = "{978-85-17-00056-0 (Internet)} and {978-85-17-00057-7 (DVD)}",
language = "pt",
organisation = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
ibi = "3ERPFQRTRW/3A5HMEE",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/3ERPFQRTRW/3A5HMEE",
targetfile = "p1013.pdf",
type = "Geoprocessamento",
urlaccessdate = "20 maio 2024"
}